Course: Economic Analysis and Forecasting

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Course title Economic Analysis and Forecasting
Course code KEM/EAPR
Organizational form of instruction Lecture + Lesson
Level of course Master
Year of study not specified
Semester Winter
Number of ECTS credits 6
Language of instruction Czech
Status of course Compulsory
Form of instruction Face-to-face
Work placements This is not an internship
Recommended optional programme components None
Lecturer(s)
  • Kovárník Pavel, JUDr. Ing. Ph.D.
Course content
construction of a dynamic structural model of economic forecasting rational expectations, Lucas critique, the time inconsistency of economic policy measures behavior of households, population growth behavior of firms price and wage rigidity exogenous and endogenous technological progress government and fiscal policy central bank and monetary policy open economy analysis of impulse responses maximum likelihood function Bayesian approach, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimates using Dynare

Learning activities and teaching methods
Individual study, Lecture, Practicum
  • Preparation for an examination (30-60) - 38 hours per semester
  • Graduate study programme term essay (40-50) - 40 hours per semester
  • Contact hours - 78 hours per semester
prerequisite
Knowledge
achieve knowledge of basic courses in economics, mathematics and statistics.
Skills
distinguish the basic micro and macroeconomic approaches according their assumptions
interpret the values of micro and macroeconomic variables
Competences
N/A
N/A
learning outcomes
Knowledge
explain the methodology of modern economic forecasting
explain advanced oeconomic models
Skills
analyze the structure of economic forecasting models
formulate their own simple models
apply mathematical procedures for models solving
apply statistical methods for models estimation
interpret the results of models
Competences
N/A
teaching methods
Knowledge
Lecture
Practicum
Individual study
Self-study of literature
Skills
Practicum
Competences
Practicum
assessment methods
Knowledge
Oral exam
Seminar work
Skills
Seminar work
Competences
Oral exam
Recommended literature
  • Costa, Celso José Junior. Understanding DSGE Models: Theory and Applications. Vernon Press, 2016. ISBN 9781622730384.
  • Friedman, Milton. Metodologie pozitivní ekonomie. Praha : Grada, 1997. ISBN 80-7169-521-1.
  • Gali, Jordi. Monetary Policy, Inflation, and the Business Cycle: An Introduction to the New Keynesian Framework and Its Applications - Second Edition. Princeton, 2015. ISBN 0691164789.
  • Holub, T.; Čihák, M. Teorie růstové politiky. Praha: Vysoká škola ekonomická, Národohospodářská fakulta, 2000. ISBN 80-245-0126-0.
  • Hušek, Roman; Pelikán, Jan. Aplikovaná ekonometrie : teorie a praxe. Praha : Professional Publishing, 2003. ISBN 80-86419-29-0.
  • Obstfeld M., Rogoff K. S. Foundations of International Macroeconomics. The MIT Press, 1996.
  • Walsh, Carl E. Monetary theory and policy. 2nd ed. Cambridge : MIT Press, 2003. ISBN 978-0-262-23231-9.


Study plans that include the course
Faculty Study plan (Version) Category of Branch/Specialization Recommended year of study Recommended semester